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Data for Afghanistan

Province 01 of 34 | Northeast

Badakhshan بدخشان

Mountain valleys with long winter isolation; trade concentrates in Fayzabad, Baharak and Kishim. A marketplace that aggregates livestock and dairy before winter closes the passes captures the largest gain.

Capital
Fayzabad
Region
Northeast
Area
43,367 km²
Population 2025–26
1,150,342
Density
27 per km²
Districts
28
Map of candidate marketplace sites and their road catchments in Badakhshan
Orange pin: candidate site. Olive shading: 60-minute catchment (dotted line: 30 minutes). Square: provincial center. Circle: existing market. Brown shading: population density.
US$ 6 million
base-case annual turnover (range US$ 3 million to US$ 9 million)
33,310
producer households benefit commercially (66,941 get market access within 60 min)
209,703
underserved rural people get market access within 60 min
194
direct jobs, base case (+310 indirect jobs)

Potential marketplace network Estimated

  • 1Kishim Market town

    District: Kishim

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 32 km, 55 min

    Producer HH within 60 min: 27,180

    36.8178, 70.1014

  • 2Baharak Market town

    District: Baharak

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 31 km, 48 min

    Producer HH within 60 min: 30,183

    36.9953, 70.8933

  • 3Yaftal-e Sufla District center

    District: Yaftal Sufla

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 24 km, 52 min

    Producer HH within 60 min: 21,581

    37.3116, 70.3722

Local products and producer groups Strong secondary

  • Wheat
  • Potato
  • Sheep, goats & yak
  • Dairy (qurut, butter)
  • Apricot & mulberry
  • Walnut

Farming system: Livestock & cereal (US$ 600 sales per participating household)

Producer groups: smallholder farmers, livestock and dairy keepers, household enterprises, small processors and traders

Crafts: Wool textiles, embroidery, lapis lazuli craft

Market catchment and accessibility Estimated

SiteHH within 30 minHH 30–60 minHH 60–90 minProducer HH within 60 minCommercially addressableUnderserved
1 Kishim16,18714,46866,08527,18013,77034%
2 Baharak15,56925,4919,08830,18313,11230%
3 Yaftal-e Sufla7,54222,56818,26321,5818,10832%

HH = households of 7.7 people (ALCS 2016–17). The primary indicator is producer households within 60 minutes by road. Underserved % is the share of rural people within 60 minutes of the candidate site who are currently more than 60 minutes from an existing market. Commercially addressable households refer to producer HH.

Infrastructure requirements

  • Road accessEstimated

    Current situation: All 3 sites on a main road

    Hard-standing, parking and safe entry from the highway

  • ElectricityStrong secondary

    Current situation: Grid reaches about 40% of Afghans nationally; rural sites mostly off-grid

    Solar plus battery for lighting, weighing, phone charging and cold rooms; grid tie where a line passes

  • Solar potentialStrong secondary

    Current situation: About 300 sunny days a year; high irradiance nationwide

    Rooftop PV on market sheds (indicative 20 to 60 kWp per site)

  • Internet & mobileAssumption

    Current situation: Mobile connections equal 52% of the population; district centers usually covered

    Mobile money and price-information kiosk; verify signal on site

  • Dry storageEstimated

    Current situation: Few formal stores outside provincial centers

    Warehouse for wheat, potato with pallets and pest control

  • Cold storageEstimated

    Current situation: Rare outside major cities

    Not a first-phase priority; drying yards and ventilated stores instead

  • Water, sanitation & loadingAssumption

    Current situation: Not assessed at site level

    Borehole, washing area, separate latrines for women and men; loading bays, livestock pens, certified scales

Economic opportunity and employment Estimated Assumption

ScenarioParticipationProducer salesOther tradingTotal turnoverDirect jobsIndirect jobs
Low10%US$ 2.1 millionUS$ 1.1 millionUS$ 3 million127203
Base20%US$ 4.2 millionUS$ 2.1 millionUS$ 6 million194310
High30%US$ 6.3 millionUS$ 3.2 millionUS$ 9 million261418

Site columns are summed. The total is de-duplicated where catchments overlap.

Evidence

Population: strong secondary province totals, estimated catchments. Travel time: estimated from the OpenStreetMap road model. Products: strong secondary. Turnover and jobs: assumption parameters applied to estimated households. Site conditions: unknown until field validation.

Open these pages in the PDF (9–10) | Method, assumptions and sources