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Data for Afghanistan

Province 27 of 34 | Central

Panjshir پنجشیر

A narrow, mountainous valley. Value comes from dried mulberry, apricot and livestock products, aggregated for Kabul buyers.

Capital
Bazarak
Region
Central
Area
3,742 km²
Population 2025–26
185,194
Density
49 per km²
Districts
7
Map of candidate marketplace sites and their road catchments in Panjshir
Orange pin: candidate site. Olive shading: 60-minute catchment (dotted line: 30 minutes). Square: provincial center. Circle: existing market. Brown shading: population density.
US$ 3.6 million
base-case annual turnover (range US$ 1.8 million to US$ 5.5 million)
17,251
producer households benefit commercially (108,251 get market access within 60 min)
334
underserved rural people get market access within 60 min
121
direct jobs, base case (+194 indirect jobs)

Potential marketplace network Estimated

  • 1Anawa Market town

    District: Unaba

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 21 km, 37 min

    Producer HH within 60 min: 106,586

    35.2169, 69.3628

  • 2Paryan District center

    District: Paryan

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 32 km, 51 min

    Producer HH within 60 min: 5,962

    35.6482, 70.0442

Local products and producer groups Strong secondary

  • Mulberry (dried)
  • Apricot
  • Wheat
  • Potato
  • Sheep, goats & honey

Farming system: Mixed farming (US$ 750 sales per participating household)

Producer groups: smallholder farmers, livestock and dairy keepers, household enterprises, small processors and traders

Crafts: Gem cutting (emerald), woolen goods

Market catchment and accessibility Estimated

SiteHH within 30 minHH 30–60 minHH 60–90 minProducer HH within 60 minCommercially addressableUnderserved
1 Anawa40,44294,26096,186106,58616,5200%
2 Paryan1,5115,61410,7905,9621,1181%

HH = households of 7.7 people (ALCS 2016–17). The primary indicator is producer households within 60 minutes by road. Underserved % is the share of rural people within 60 minutes of the candidate site who are currently more than 60 minutes from an existing market. Commercially addressable households refer to producer HH.

Infrastructure requirements

  • Road accessEstimated

    Current situation: All 2 sites on a main road

    Hard-standing, parking and safe entry from the highway

  • ElectricityStrong secondary

    Current situation: Grid reaches about 40% of Afghans nationally; rural sites mostly off-grid

    Solar plus battery for lighting, weighing, phone charging and cold rooms; grid tie where a line passes

  • Solar potentialStrong secondary

    Current situation: About 300 sunny days a year; high irradiance nationwide

    Rooftop PV on market sheds (indicative 20 to 60 kWp per site)

  • Internet & mobileAssumption

    Current situation: Mobile connections equal 52% of the population; district centers usually covered

    Mobile money and price-information kiosk; verify signal on site

  • Dry storageEstimated

    Current situation: Few formal stores outside provincial centers

    Warehouse for mulberry (dried), apricot with pallets and pest control

  • Cold storageEstimated

    Current situation: Rare outside major cities

    Not a first-phase priority; drying yards and ventilated stores instead

  • Water, sanitation & loadingAssumption

    Current situation: Not assessed at site level

    Borehole, washing area, separate latrines for women and men; loading bays, livestock pens, certified scales

Economic opportunity and employment Estimated Assumption

ScenarioParticipationProducer salesOther tradingTotal turnoverDirect jobsIndirect jobs
Low10%US$ 1.3 millionUS$ 540,000US$ 1.8 million80128
Base20%US$ 2.6 millionUS$ 1.1 millionUS$ 3.6 million121194
High30%US$ 4 millionUS$ 1.6 millionUS$ 5.5 million161258

Site columns are summed. The total is de-duplicated where catchments overlap.

Evidence

Population: strong secondary province totals, estimated catchments. Travel time: estimated from the OpenStreetMap road model. Products: strong secondary. Turnover and jobs: assumption parameters applied to estimated households. Site conditions: unknown until field validation.

Open these pages in the PDF (61–62) | Method, assumptions and sources